Fighting Chance Fantasy Roundtable - Week 11
Welcome to the Week 10 Fighting Chance Fantasy Roundtable! Let's get to our panel and this week's burning questions. Follow Ryan (@fightingchance), Steve (@fantasygeek37), Brian Drake (@drakefantasy), Gary Haddow (@garyhaddow1), and Kevin Tompkins (@ktompkinsii)
Ryan says - Calvin Ridley, WR Falcons. Ridley hasn’t been bad this season, but he hasn’t been what we hoped and dreamed for. He has only been averaging about four catches for 50 yards on the season and he just hasn’t gotten the attention he deserves. He
faces a fairly solid Panthers secondary this week, but without Devonta Freeman or Austin Hooper gobbling up so many targets, more focus HAS to go to Ridley. I’m looking for a minimum of seven catches for 80 yards and a score this week.
Steve says - Miles Sanders, RB Eagles. With Jordan Howard likely out, we should see a heavy dose of Miles Sanders this week. Over the last five games, Sanders has averaged 6.2 rush attempts per game versus 15.8 for Howard, so I wouldn't be surprised to see Sanders approach 20 touches in this one. The Pats have given up almost 370 rushing yards in the last two games and I see the Eagles featuring their rookie running back in Week 11.
Kevin says - Auden Tate, WR Bengals. Call it a hunch, but I think Tate gets involved here as the Oakland secondary is just a mess right now. Ryan Finley throwing the ball may not inspire a ton of confidence, but in a tough bye week, Tate is a solid WR3. Tyler Boyd will get his, but people are likely scared away by the Bengals quarterback and just the overall ineptitude of the offense this season. Again, call it a hunch.
Drake says - Dallas Goedert, TE Eagles. With the Eagles down Alshon Jeffery, Darren Sproles, Desean Jackson, and Jordan Howard is gimpy, they've got to throw to someone. Zach Ertz should be the focus of the Patriots defensive game plan leaving Goedert as the beneficiary. The Eagles run two tight end sets as their base offense which means that Goedert will be on the field the majority of the game. Easy Money.
Gary says - Dallas Goedert, TE Eagles. Admittedly a lot of my Goedert love comes from Brian Drake, who may have also picked Goedert for his sleeper (Editor's Note...Drake did indeed pick Goedert unknown to Gary). But with Alshon, DJax, and even Jordan Howard all out or expected to sit, the Eagles are slim on trusted play makers for Wentz to rely on. Assuming the Patriots focus on shutting down Zach Ertz, then I expect Goedert to get a healthy dose of targets. Additionally, the Patriots are “most vulnerable” against 12 personnel or two tight end sets. I like Goedert’s upside in this matchup.
Ryan says - Stefon Diggs, WR Vikings. I really like Diggs, but he has been off the past couple of weeks, even without Adam Thielen. While he thrived the first couple of games that Thielen missed, he has fallen off a cliff the past two weeks. He will face one of the best corners in the league in Chris Harris, and while I am still playing Stefon Diggs in season long leagues, my confidence in him is at an all time low.
Steve says - DeAndre Hopkins, WR Texans. The Texans take on the Ravens this week who are number two in the NFL in time of possession because of their rushing attack, which means that Houston may run fewer plays this week. Not that I worry much about individual matchups with Nuk as he's capable of beating any corner, but he does face the tough Marcus Peters this week and when paired with the team matchup, I think this could be a disappointing week for Hopkins.
Kevin says - Zach Pascal, WR Colts. Pascal should see a bunch of AJ Bouye and just because he's the Colts number one, doesn't lock him into to WR3 consideration. He's a boom or bust WR4 for me. He has not had a week this season with over seven targets and outside of weeks seven and nine, Pascal has four catches and 40 yards yards on 11 targets in the three games outside of those weeks. You can't trust him, and I'm not this week.
Drake says - Joe Mixon, RB Bengals. I can't see the Bengals giving Mixon another 30 carries in a blowout loss. Oakland can run the rock themselves and this game clock is going to fly. I can see this game being over in record time. There isn't enough garbage time to salvage the day for Mixon.
Gary says - Stefon Diggs, WR Vikings. While the Denver defense has steadily been getting better throughout the season, Chris Harris has become a complete shutdown corner. He has only allowed one touchdown and that was to Tyreek Hill who had 40 yards and a touchdown. In addition to the Tyreek game only one other WR has had more than 10 fantasy points against Harris, and that was OBJ. I am forced to start Diggs this week because on any given play he can go for a 60 yard touchdown, but I have been trying to find someone to pivot to… Unfortunately, I haven’t found anyone worthwhile.
Which second year wide receiver will have the best performance this week...DJ Moore, DJ Chark, or Michael Gallup?
Ryan says - DJ Moore. I’m all about Moore this week in a matchup against the ridiculously bad Falcons secondary. Yes, I know they shut down the Saints last week, but there is no chance that it happens again. Moore has been getting the job done all season long even with Kyle Allen at quarterback and has back to back 100 yard games. This one should be three straight and he should also find the end zone against Atlanta.
Steve says - DJ Chark. This may be going against the grain a little bit but I really like DJ Chark this week. He has 21 targets in his last two games and coming off the bye week, I expect the Jaguars to have a game plan to keep him involved. I expect him to add one or two scores to the six touchdowns he has on the season.
Kevin says - DJ Moore. Moore has been super unlucky with his touchdowns (only one on the season), but he's had two straight 100 yard games and now gets to torch the Falcons. Kyle Allen has looked quite good as of late and he should be able to connect with Moore early and often. He's really stepped up as of late and is looking every bit like his first round draft pedigree.
Drake says - DJ Moore. Over his last four games, he's compiled a whopping 40 targets! That kind of presence in an offense playing the lowly Falcons can't be undersold. Fire up more with extreme confidence in a great spot.
Gary says - DJ Moore. I’m all aboard the DJ Moore train this week. He only has ONE touchdown this season which is crazy given he has 54 receptions. Against the Atlanta Falcons I am thinking 80+ yards and a touchdown. Love him this week as a top 15 wide receiver.
Which quarterback priced under $7,200 on Fanduel is the best play...Kyle Allen vs Atl, Nick Foles at Ind, or Carson Wentz vs NE?
Ryan says - Kyle Allen. Gotta go back to back Panthers on this one with Allen. I have zero faith in Carson Wentz without Alshon Jeffery as that leaves him a bunch of trash receivers against one of the best pass defenses in football. Nick Foles is playing in his first game since Week 1. And while I might not feel overly comfortable with Allen, he is the best of the group. He has the best matchup, and has the best weapons. The above mentioned D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel who has been on a nice scoring streak. I wouldn’t use
any of them in an actual DFS lineup but if I have to choose one it is Allen.
Steve says - Kyle Allen. I really wanted to pick Foles in this, but I just can't trust him in his first game back. Wentz has too many injures in that Philly offense and Allen has a great matchup. Allen could be pretty highly owned in DFS this week.
Kevin says - Kyle Allen. The aforementioned Panthers get a possible shootout at home with the Falcons, so line me up with multiple Panthers, including Allen. He should be good for close to 300 yards and a couple of scores minimum.
Drake says - Kyle Allen. It pains me to go against my bros Foles and Wentz, but Kyle Allen is in such a good spot. He's not special or very talented, but he has the best shot at throwing for 300 and multiple scores. Atlanta's secondary is pathetic.
Gary says - Kyle Allen. Going with my DJ Moore love is my love for Kyle Allen. The Falcons may have shown up against the Saints, but I expect that was more fluke that the norm moving forward. Allen always has a nice floor to his games with Moore, Samuel, Olsen, and of course, CMC. I expect the Falcons to be able to put up points, so this game will require Allen to show up.
Who is the better play both this week and for the rest of the season...David Johnson or Kenyan Drake?
Ryan says - Kenyan Drake. David Johnson has been rumored to play in multiple weeks but then mostly sat out. He did get on the field in the last game but literally looked like he was running in slow motion. That isn’t an exaggeration. When I saw him “hit the hole” I wondered if the replay was slowed down. Drake has looked solid in his short time with the team, and while the eventual return of Chase Edmonds also muddies the waters, Drake looks like the best guy so far. He can run, and he can also catch the ball out of
the backfield and is the best option in Arizona for the rest of the year.
Steve says - Kenyan Drake. I'm sad that injuries have derailed David Johnson's season, but to put it simply...he just ain't right. I think Drake is the play both this week and for the rest of the season.
Kevin says - Kenyan Drake. David Johnson looked more like Larry David last week, so I'm going to go with Kenyan Drake, who has something to prove after being casts aside by the Dolphins and sent to the desert. He's looked good so far as a Cardinal and Johnson should honestly be shut down.
Drake says - Kenyan Drake. I'm taking Drake and it's not even close. DJ looks hurt, fat, and slow. He shouldn't play another down this season.
Gary says - Kenyan Drake. For this week I prefer Kenyan Drake, but ROS I prefer DJ. Johnson appears to be banged up, while Drake has surprisingly spry fresh legs. Drake had a fantastic game against the 49ers two weeks ago, and while I don’t expect that to repeat, I do think he is the best option this coming week against the 49ers again. I do hope that I am right about DJ long term and he is just banged up because he fully looked like he was out of gas.