Fighting Chance Fantasy Roundtable - Week 13


 

Sleeper

Ryan says - Allen Hurns, WR Dolphins. The Dolphins receivers are dropping like flies and they only have DeVante Parker, Hurns, and Albert Wilson left, and Wilson is banged up. Hurns has 13 targets in the last two weeks and had a late touchdown last week. This the good think about owning Dolphins receivers is there is at least usually a full quarter of garbage time for them to work with. Hurns has mild success in the past in the NFL and should easily see another six to eight targets this week and could score against a subpar Eagles pass defense. 

Gary says - Dallas Goedert, TE Eagles. Zach Ertz has a bum hamstring and may not play (the Eagles just signed a tight end). Even if Ertz plays, Goedert still has a solid floor which first with TE1 production. If Ertz is out, then Goedert is a must start. I would start him over Mark Andrews if Ertz is out. The Dolphins suck and Alshon/Nelson are coming off injuries. 

Kevin says - Nyheim Hines, RB Colts. I think he can flirt with RB2 status this week. The Colts won't have TY Hilton or Eric Ebron, so those targets have to go somewhere. Why not Hines? He had his biggest fantasy output last week and could build on that against Tennessee.

Drake says - Tyler Boyd, WR Bengals. Now that Andy Dalton is back in the saddle, I like Boyd to rebound and become the WR2 type target monster that he was in the first month of the season. If you recall, Boyd had 32 targets through the first three weeks of the season. The Bengals should've never benched Dalton, but bad teams do what bad teams do. Give me 15 PPR points for the Cincy slot machine. 

Bust

Ryan says - Leonard Fournette, RB Jaguars. Before this huge game last week, Fournette had a couple of rough ones in a row that were only saved by his role in the pass offense. He has had a fantastic season, and he is generally a no-doubt weekly starter. It is shocking, but the Bucs are the second best run defense in the league and Fournette may struggle to find some running room this week. Look for him to be held out of the end zone and also held under 50 yards on the ground. He will need a big game as a receiver to hold his normal RB2 value. 

Gary says - Kenyan Drake, RB Cardinals. I know I am going against the grain here. Drake has been pretty damn good for fantasy since arriving in Arizona. However, that came with Chase Edmonds out due to hamstring issues and David Johnson who looks like an aged, slow veteran and not who we think of him as. But that was before the bye week, before all three were vying for snaps, and before David Johnson had a week to rest (hopefully). I just don't trust Drake to fulfill expectations. 

Kevin says - Lamar Jackson, QB Ravens. If there is a defense that can put the clamps on Lamar Jackson, he's facing them Sunday in the 49ers. Jackson has been amazing all season, but he's allowed a stinker and this is the best chance for just an average game. I think it comes here after such an insane MNF showing. 

Drake says - Eagles Defense. Yes, they are playing the Dolphins. Yes, it's a great matchup. Yes, I'm starting them in numerous leagues, but I just see Fitzpatrick going for 300 yards and three touchdowns in total garbage time. They've got no shot at running the ball on Philly, so expect 45+ attempts for Fitzmagic which should lead to some scores that will knock down that defense total. 

Which lower end running back is worth playing this week...Ronald Jones, Miles Sanders, or Sony Michel?

Ryan says - Ronald Jones. His usage is always a mystery, but Jones is definitely the main guy in Tampa. And while he is tough to trust on a weekly basis, this is a slam dunk no doubter against a Jacksonville defense that has been getting shredded on the ground lately. He isn't likely to break 100 yards rushing or anything, but he will be a very useful, cheap option in DFS games this week. 

Gary says - Miles Sanders. With Jordan Howard out this week, Sanders will share the backfield with Jay Ajayi against the terrible Dolphins. While I'm not sold on Sanders as an every week RB2, in this matchup I definitely am!

Kevin says - Miles Sanders. Miles Sanders with a bullet. My running back start of the week, Sanders should have room to maneuver now that Alshon Jeffery and Nelson Agholor are back. I love him as a borderline RB1 play for Week 13. 

Drake says - Sony Michel. While everyone is leaning Sanders, I'm sure the sneaky bet is Sony Michel. We're hearing all week that Tom Brady has an elbow injury. Let's put two and two together. A 42-year old quarterback with a questionable throwing elbow, a running game you need to get going, and a left tackle who returned and now solidifies your line. Give me Michel going for 100 yards and a touchdown on Sunday.

Do you like Chris Carson or Rashaad Penny better going forward?

Ryan says - Chris Carson. People lost their dang minds in fantasy this past week since Chris Carson had another bad case of fumblitis and Rashaad Penny ran for a long touchdown. The Seahawks know who the best back is, and that's why Penny rarely sees many carries. Carson struggled with fumbles early in the season and the coaching staff never went away from him. That will be the same case again in Week 13 as long as Carson is healthy. He is the workhorse of this team, and is an every week RB2 with upside for more. 

Gary says - Chris Carson. I think Carson has proven time and time again that he can be relied upon. I know the fumbling is an issue, but ultimately Penny has not been able to string together consistent performances. I'm on the Carson train until the coaching staff tells me otherwise. 

Kevin says - Chris Carson. I think the Seahawks backfield turns into a bit of a split, but Pete Carroll is as loyal to a player as you will see in the NFL, so don't count out Carson yet. Penny will get extended run, but I think Carson is still the back to own in Seattle. 

Drake says - Chris Carson. Rashaad Penny stinks. There, I said it. It's not a coincidence that this former first round pick can't find the field most weeks. He's just not that good. Chris Carson is the Seahawks' boy. They said it in the preseason and said it again this week. Don't be fooled by the Penny talk. 

Which is the best quarterback streaming option this week...Sam Darnold, Jared Goff, Baker Mayfield, or Sony Michel?

Ryan says - Jared Goff. Yeah, the Rams have been really bad, especially the embarrassment of having their assess handed to them Monday night against the Ravens. However, the Rams have been getting exposed against strong defenses like Baltimore and San Francisco a few weeks before. This week it is against the Cardinals who everyone throws for a ton of yards against. If you are streaming quarterbacks, all of those guys are great choices and Sam Darnold would have been my next pick, but Goff should have over 300 yards and a couple of touchdowns. 

Gary says - Jameis Winston. I do really like both Darnold and Winston this week, but Winston's weapons are too good. It is crazy that Winston is still considered streamable despite being the QB6 on the season (six point passing touchdown). Did we see what Ryan Tannehill did to the Jags? I expect Evans and Godwin to have their way with what is left of this Jaguars defense. Sure, Winston will throw some picks, but he will add 350 yards and probably three touchdowns to go with it. 

Kevin says - Sam Darnold. Best streamer by far. They face a Bengals squad in search of their first victory and Darnold has started to assert himself as a quality starting quarterback in this league, and in fantasy. His fantasy playoff schedule is money in the bank, so if you're having QB issues and Darnold is on your waiver wire for some reason, scoop him up!

Drake says - Jameis Winston. He's going to throw for a couple of picks and get sacked five times, but Winston is a fantasy points machine. Only TWICE has he thrown for less than 300 yards. You'll also get a few points from his legs. I want to eat the W with my man Famous Jameis. 

 

 


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