Five Game Parlay: Week 4


After this week we will already be at the quarter pole for the 2019 Five Game Parlay, and as usual the standings are pretty tight. Ryan came back to the pack and was the big, huge embarrassment as he went 1-4 and three of our other competitors went 3-2. Through three weeks four of our five competitors are over .500 but don’t worry Joe Gallina! You have the best record of them all at 6-9! Let’s get to the Week 4 standings and picks.

Standings

Drake: 9-6
Steve: 9-6
Gary: 8-7
Ryan: 8-7
Joe: 6-9

Drake’s Pick @drakefantasy

Miami Dolphins +16 over Los Angeles Chargers. I'm calling the Dolphins to win!  That's right I said it.  The Chargers have a plethora of injuries.  It's basically Rivers, Allen, and Ekeler vs a high school team.  I've seen enough movies to know the little guy wins in the end.  Cue up the sappy music and get some popcorn it's go time!

New York Giants -3 over Washington Redskins. Danny Dimes gives this Giants offense a real chance.  Their defense on the other hand is beyond awful.  Good news for big blue is they play the even more pathetic Redskins.  Give me the Giants and the 3.

Baltimore Ravens -7 over Cleveland Browns. Baltimore I don't think is as good as we've been told.  Cleveland I don't buy is as bad as they've shown.  I think the 7 is a big number but being in Baltimore and the way the Ravens can impose their will with the run game I see them covering.

New England Patriots -7 over Buffalo Bills. The fans in Buffalo have been pregaming since June for this game.  The faithful at New Era field will be so lathered up it will be hard to pry them away from their table breaking to get them into their seats.  Then the ball gets kicked off.  After the feel good stories of Josh Allen and the Bills Mafia are told, Tom Brady shows up and pisses out their BBQ fire.  Buffalo doesn't have the fire power to keep up with New England.  Pats win by 10.

Cincinnati Bengals +4 over Pittsburgh Steelers. Give me Cincy to win straight up!  The Steelers offense is a mess.  Mason Rudolph looks lost (no matter what Joe Buck says).  Their WR's can't get open, their line isn't opening holes, and James Conner looks like just a guy.  Bengals go into the Steel city and steal a win.

Steve’s Picks @fantasygeek37

Miami Dolphins +16 over Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers are flying from the left to right coast and playing in an early, 1pm eastern time game. I can’t remember the exact stat, but I think west coast teams are like 0-74 in early games on the east coast…or something like that.

Indianapolis Colts -6.5 over Oakland Raiders. Jacoby Brissett and Marlon Mack are playing well, and the Raiders are…well, the Raiders are coming off two tough losses. I’m not worried about the injury that TY Hilton is dealing with. I think the Colts roll in this one.

New England Patriots -7 over Buffalo Bills. I like when people think Josh Allen is a good NFL quarterback. In 15 career games, he has a completion percentage of 55.6%, averages 188 passing yards per game and has 13 passing touchdowns versus 15 interceptions. He’s going to break your hearts Buffalo.  Don’t get too attached.

Los Angeles Rams -10 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Jameis Winston will throw five interceptions in this one and the Rams will smash the Bucs.

Atlanta Falcons -4 over Tennessee Titans. I do worry about Derrick Henry running over the smaller Falcons defensive front, but I think Atlanta can flip the script on Henry as they get a lead and force the Titans to pass.

Gary’s Picks @garyhaddow1

Baltimore Ravens -7 over Cleveland Browns. This is going to be the Ravens FU game after last weeks slow burn to kind of stay close to the Chiefs. I’m expecting a bounce back from Lamar and Andrews, which a heavy dose of Ingram. 

Indianapolis Colts -6.5 over Oakland Raiders. The Raiders suck, and the Colts D looks legit. If they get Leonard back then watch out for a complete blow out. If this team had Luck they’d be a top 5 team, without him they are top 10 still.

Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 over Detroit Lions. The Lions have looked better than expected. But you know what sucks for everyone else, so have the Chiefs. They too look better than expected. The AFC conference championship is going to be electric, definitely not getting ahead of myself... right?

New England Patriots -7 over Buffalo Bills. Battle of the undefeated, in division, against a team that usually holds Tom Brady in check.... but that was before Tom turned 42. Now he is really in his prime and the Bills won’t be able to have Josh Allen run his way to a close game.

Seattle Seahawks -5 over Arizona Cardinals. This is my least confident pick, but I’m picking the development of the Seahawks Front 7 and they are going to smash through the turnstiles that are the Arizona O-line.   Should be a great game for fantasy for all offensive weapons on both sides of the ball.

Ryan’s Picks @fightingchance

Los Angeles Rams -10 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Rams haven’t quite been in sync yet, but a date with the Buccaneers should cure all of that. Tampa just allowed a rookie making his first start to throw for 330 yards with four total touchdowns. Goff and the Rams are way better than they have been playing and Los Angeles defense should keep the Bucs largely off the scoreboard. The Rams should roll over them.

Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 over Denver Broncos. I just don’t have faith in the Jaguars, while Minshew-mania continues to run wild over the NFL. Gardner Minshew is far from a fantasy MVP, but he continues to lead the Jaguars to victory, while I think the Broncos won’t be able to score enough to stay with them. Considering I think Jacksonville will win the game, getting more than a field goal with the spread is a definite pick for me.

Dallas Cowboys -3.5 over New Orleans Saints. The Cowboys are playing like one of the best teams in football this season, and I have no idea how the Saints beat the Seahawks last week. The Saints defense is pretty solid, but I think the Cowboys will be able to throw too much Dak, Zeke, and Amari at the Saints for their compromised offense to keep up with. Give me the Cowboys by a touchdown.

New York Giants -3 over Washington Redskins. I am not quite ready to call Daniel Jones a superstar just yet, but I am ready to call the Redskins a pile of shit. The only way that I can see Washington winning this game is if Case Keenum doesn’t play or gets hurt and Dwayne Haskins is as good as we think he will be. No Barkley, no problem as Younger Eli has another great game against a garbage Redskins defense and the Giants win their second straight.

Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 over Detroit Lions. The more I watch the Chiefs offense, the more I am in awe of their greatness. Even at home, the Lions don’t have the offense to THINK about keeping up with Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City. I would have laid 13 points with the Chiefs.

Joe’s Picks @joegallina

New York Giants -3 over the Washington Redskins. As a Giants fan I can’t wait to see Danny Dimes’ regular season home debut this Sunday. Future hall of famer Daniel Jones has a phenomenal matchup against the hapless Redskins who are 1-6 straight up and 2-5 against the spread in their last seven divisional road games. Rumors are swirling that head coach Jay Gruden could be gone if the Redskins don’t beat the Giants. I wonder if his players like him. I vote no and that they don’t show up for the game. By the second half it’ll be Jones against fellow rookie QB Dwayne Haskins. The Giants win and cover.

Atlanta Falcons - 4 over the Tennessee Titans. The Falcons have just five sacks so far this season but with the Titans offensive line having allowed QB Marcus Mariota to be sacked 17 times, expect them to add to that total. Matt Ryan is 7-0 against the spread in his last seven games when he’s come off of a loss to a sub .500 team when playing at home.

Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 over the Denver Broncos. Last week I wrote that the Jags were done. This week I’m picking them to cover. I’m a Gardner Minshew believer and I believe in the trend that has had the Broncos go 1-5-1 against the spread in the month of September dating back to last season. There are two teams that the Broncos should be favored over and the Jags aren’t one of them. This will be a low scoring game that the Jags might even win.

Baltimore Ravens -7 over the Cleveland Browns. The stats I’ve come across tell me that I should be picking the Browns. The Ravens haven’t covered their last four home games and they are 1-7 against the spread at home against teams with losing road records. Despite all that, I’m taking the Ravens to cover at home. I’m getting the feeling that the Browns are going to be that team that has a bunch of really good players who just don’t mesh. They’re undisciplined and poorly coached. It might take them a little while to find their way. The Browns’ season is not over, but the Ravens will cover the spread.

Seattle Seahawks -5 over the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals’ defense is atrocious and they have no home field advantage. Their home record is 1-8-1 since the start of the 2018 season and they haven’t had a home win against the Seahawks since 2012. The Seahawks are 9-4-2 against the spread in their past 15 road games and will cover the spread in this game.

 

 


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