Five Game Parlay: Week 4
Things remained ugly for the Fabulous Fivesome here at the Five Game Parlay. Only Steve was able to even with three out of five, and three of us had just one win or none at all. So maybe if you are reading this article it is for what NOT to bet on! You know what they always say, it can only get better from here so let’s look at this week’s picks and the standings with last week’s results in parenthesis.
Steve 7-7-1 (3-2)
Patrick 7-8 (2-3)
Ryan 5-10 (1-4)
Drake 5-10 (0-5)
Joe 4-11 (0-5)
Chicago Bears (-2.5) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bears lead the NFL in sacks (14) and I think they give Ryan Fitztragic fits this week with the pressure they apply on opposing signal callers. Peyton Barber sucks and I really like the Bears to win comfortably at home against the overachieving Tampa Bay Bucs.
Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) over Tennessee Titans. The Eagles have the best rush defense in the NFL through the first three games of the season, and with Marcus Mariota struggling with injuries and poor performance, I just don’t see how Tennessee moves the ball. Wentz got the rust off in Week 3 and I expect him to perform much better this week.
Los Angeles Chargers (-10) over San Francisco 49ers. No Jimmy Garoppolo tells me that the Niners hopes of even a decent season are now in the trash. Just like all of my hopes and dreams. Rivers and Gordon feast in Week 4. Sorry Ryan…
New York Giants (+3) over New Orleans Saints. Drew Brees has been known to struggle when he plays outdoors, and I think the Giants are bad matchup for this Saints team. They can pound the rock with Barkley and keep the ball out of the hands of Brees, Kamara, and Michael Thomas. That should also open the door for the shots to Odell Beckham and Sterling Shepard, who are facing a Saints defense that has been torched by opposing passing attacks so far this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) over Baltimore Ravens. The Steelers defense has been putrid so far, but I don’t believe in Joe Flacco, and I don’t think they will be able to score enough points to keep pace with the high-scoring Steelers. Ben thrives at home and without Jimmy Smith playing for the Ravens, I expect Ben, Brown, and Juju to score a ton of points this week in Pittsburgh.
Los Angeles Chargers -10 over San Francisco 49ers. I love the Chargers, sorry Ryan, but the Niners are in the thralls of disappointment after now losing franchise QB Jimmy G. San Diego’s (LA) high powered offense will have zero problems scoring and their good defense shouldn’t have problems scoring either, Give me my Chargers to cover the Bo Derek = 10
Detroit Lions +3 over Dallas Cowboys. Is this the game the Lions shit the bed again? Most likely, but I’ll continue to be a homer and bet for them to cover. It is fun watching the emergence of Kenny Golladay weekly as he has already became the number #1 WR in Detroit to me. Dallas will run at will on the Lions, but that’s it. Give me the Lions and the three.
Houston Texans +2.5 over Indianapolis Colts. Houston, we have a problem, Lamar Miller is barely hanging on! He does have a fantastic history against the Dolts, and with, Miller running free, Watson will as well when needed and Nuk and Fuller will keep things open. The Texans eke out a nice road win up in the Indy Dome by not only covering the 2 ½ but winning as well.
Green Bay Packers –10 over Buffalo Bills. I not sure who in the Bills organization sacrificed a child to Satan for the twilight zone performance last week in Minnesota, but that bull shit stops this week. Green Bay is going to railroad the Bills back to reality and also cover the Hamilton they’re giving.
Atlanta Falcons -5.5 over Cincinnati Bengals. Lastly, I want Atlanta at home to cover, I’m not sure if AJ Green is playing yet, but I haven’t looked either, I don’t have any shares of him anywhere. Regardless, Atlanta seems to be firing on all cylinders, even with Freeman out. So, give me the Falcons to cover against my brother Dan’s favorite team, the Bengals
New England Patriots -7 over Miami Dolphins. This week I’m picking against five teams that I don’t think are that good. Here’s the first. The Dolphins are 3-0 and while they have looked good, they aren’t a playoff caliber team. The Hoodie finally gets his team on track and the Pats get to .500.
Houston Texans +2.5 over Indianapolis Colts. I don’t think the Colts are very good at all. They have no running game, and Andrew Luck’s shoulder clearly isn’t right. Houston is way more talented than their 0-3 start and they win this one outright.
Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5 over New York Jets. Fuck the Jets! I hate them. This is a big number, and Jacksonville couldn’t score for shit last week, but I have faith in them in Week 4. Bortles throws two touchdowns, Fournette runs one in and the Jags win comfortably.
Chicago Bears -2.5 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Fitzpatrick lit the NFL world on fire the first two weeks of the season, and while he made a game of it against the Steelers, the warts began to show. Khalil Mack is a one man wrecking crew and once he his Fitz once or twice watch the mistakes start to happen. Jordan Howard has a big game here.
Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 over Tennessee Titans. The Titans are trash! The running situation is a tire fire right now, Marcus Mariota sucks and is banged up and that means Blaine Gabbert might come in. They couldn’t even get in the endzone last week and now face a tough Eagles D. This one could get ugly.
New England Patriots -7 over Miami Dolphins. Give me the Patriots to throttle the Dolphins. Brady and Gronk go off in this one. Easy money.
Houston Texans +2.5 over Indianapolis Colts. Houston gets their first W of the year. They win outright. My boy Keke Coutee scores and becomes a waiver darling.
Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 over Atlanta Falcons. Cincy loses but only by 1. A late FG wins it for ATL but they don’t cover. Dalton and Ryan both go off. Great DFS stack game.
New York Jets +7.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jets are more talented than most give them credit for. The Jags won’t cover thanks to the 1/2 point tease. Jets only fall by a TD. Gang green makes you some green.
Los Angeles Chargers -10 over San Francisco 49ers. Chargers bomb the 49ers. Take the 10. Chargers by 17. Big Mike gets another TD. Trade for him now.
Tennessee Titans (+ 3.5) over Philadelphia Eagles. The Titans have given up the second fewest points on the season (50) and although they’ll probably lose, as a home underdog they can keep this game close. They’ve won each of their last two games by three points. Carson Wentz might need another week to shake the rust off of his game. He’ll find a way to guide the Eagles to victory but it won’t be by more than three points
Cincinnati Bengals (+5.5) over Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons should win this game, but the spread is a bit too high. The Falcons defense has been riddled with injuries and gave up 37 points to the Saints. Now, the Bengals offense is nowhere near as explosive as the Saints offense but they have averaged just under 30 points scored this season. He’s got some viable weapons to work with. WR A.J. Green is supposed to be healthy, third year receiver Tyler Boyd has come into his own of late and RB Giovani Bernard will again fill in for the injured Joe Mixon. He loves to catch passes out of the backfield and the Falcons defense has given up the most receptions to RBs. Sounds like a match made in heaven.
New England Patriots (-7) over Miami Dolphins. Enough is enough. The Pats can’t lose three straight can they? I think they hand the Dolphins their first loss of the season. Josh Gordon should play and with Dolphins defenders having to pay attention to him on the outside, Gronk should get more opportunities over the middle. Sony Michel’s rushing attempts have increased each week and with Rex Burkhead on the IR, that trend should continue. Even though the Dolphins’ run defense has been very good, Michel is super talented and has a bunch of upside. In the Patriots last four wins against the Dolphins they’ve outscored them by an average of 24 points.
Green Bay Packers (-10) over Buffalo Bills. The Packers haven’t won since Week 1 and are playing at home against a Buffalo Bills team still giddy over the fact that their improbably victory over the Vikings ruined everyone’s Survivor pools. Look for Aaron Rodgers to throw a couple of TDs and RB Aaron Jones to have a breakout game as the Pack coasts to an easy victory.
Denver Broncos (+4.5) over the Kansas City Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes will face a true test as he takes on the Broncos in Denver on Monday night. The Broncos pass rush will be all over the second year starter and the Broncos fans will do their best to further rattle Mahomes. The Chiefs porous defense is equally bad against the run and the pass and should allow the Broncos to keep up with them and keep this game close. The Broncos might just win this game outright.