The DFS Drive: Wild Card Weekend
Playoff football has finally arrived! DFS action in the playoffs is much different than the regular season as the main slate only features four games. Sites tend to focus more on single game contests and we over at Fantasy Sports Headquarters luckily have you covered!
We are going to look at DraftKings this week as they are offering a “Showdown” slate for the Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans game on Saturday. Lineup construction for these contests consist of six players, one being your “captain” which receives a 1.5x multiplier on their score, but also costs more salary to roster.
So let’s take a look at some of my favorite tournament options for the Colts and Texans Showdown contest!
Andrew Luck ($17,100 Captain/$11,400)
T.Y. Hilton ($15,900 Captain/$10,600)
The Andrew Luck to T.Y. Hilton combination has put up some monster stat lines the year, especially indoors. They have also lit up the Texans secondary in both their matchups this season. Back in Week 4, Luck went to the tune of 464 yards passing for four touchdowns and Hilton has compiled 13 receptions for 314 yards in two games against Houston this season.
The Colts duo has also been hot over their last four games. Luck has averaged 308 and nearly two touchdowns while Hilton has seen 8.5 targets per game for 120 yards in that span.
Houston’s pass defense on the other hand has been struggling in their past four contests. During that time, the Texans secondary has allowed 307.5 yards per game and has let wide receivers run wild for 186.5 yards and a touchdown per game.
Deshaun Watson ($17,700 Captain/$11,800)
DeAndre Hopkins ($18,300 Captain/$12,800)
This has arguably been one of the most dynamic quarterback to wide receiver combinations in the NFL this season. Watson doesn’t have the gaudy stats like Luck does, but nearly all of his volume is going to Hopkins. Watson has targeted Hopkins at least 11 times in each of the past three games and it has been working.
If you are looking at recent form, Watson has tossed 35 or more attempts in three of his past four games and Hopkins has been the beneficiary of those attempts as he has averaged 114 yards per game and totaled three touchdowns.
The Watson and Hopkins stack is a little more pricy than the Luck and Hilton combination, but if you can find the right salary combination to fit them, I can see these two being on the winning tournament lineup.
Nyheim Hines ($6,000 Captain/$4,000)
Marlon Mack has come on strong the past few weeks, however, I like Hines in this matchup against a stout Texans run defense. Houston ranks third in the league against the run, so your best bet is going to be to attack them in the air with pass catching running backs. In their Week 4 matchup, Hines hauled in nine passes for 63 yards and two scores.
Even with Mack succeeding lately, Hines has still been part of the Colts offensive attack as he has been targeted at least five times in the past five games. Pair that with a Houston defense which has allowed 44 receiving yards to backs over their past four games, I will have my shares of Hines this weekend.
Chester Rogers ($5,400 Captain/$3,600)
The Colts like to spread their volume around to their receivers not named T.Y. Hilton so it is a little difficult to pin down who to lock on to in this matchup. My bet is going to be for Rogers this week for a few reasons.
First, he does come at a slight discount to Dontrelle Inman which is going to be important if you are trying to fit in the Colts and Texans heavy hitters. Second, he has been seeing 4.5 targets over the past few weeks and his snap count is at 37-46-46 over his past three. Playing time and targets are what I am looking at down at this price and Rogers fits both of them this week.
Mo Alie-Cox ($600 Captain/$400) or Ryan Griffin ($1,200 Captain/$800)
Both Alie-Cox and Griffin are tournament only plays for me this week. There is also a strategy for using these two. If I am looking to do a Luck/Hilton stack, I am including Alie-Cox in a few of them. I will include Griffin in some of my Watson/Hopkins stacks.
My reasoning behind this is it gives you the opportunity to fit in another high priced player with the chance of you getting really cheap touchdown if they are around the goal line. The Colts have used multiple tight ends all season and Griffin has been seeing a little more than three targets a game in the regular season.
Both these tight ends are in the boom or bust category, but if one happens to reach the end zone you could be looking at a nice low owned play that could vault you to the top of the leaderboard.
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