Week 3 Roundtable
Welcome to the Fighting Chance Roundtable! Each week we will be asking our panel of Fighting Chance Staff a series of questions for the upcoming slate of NFL games. Each person will give you the best answer to the question in order to help set your lineups this week, both season long and DFS. This week we have Steve Rapin (@fantasygeek37 on Twitter), Jim Day (@fantasytaz), Brian Drake (@drakefantasy), and myself, Ryan Hallam (@fightingchance). Please dear reader, enjoy the Week 2 Roundtable!
Sleeper of the Week
Jim’s Pick - Latavius Murray, RB Minnesota Vikings. I was really hoping to get this out there before Cook was known to not be playing this week, but I am sticking with it. Murray should see at least 20 touches in a plus matchup for the Minnesota offense. Vegas has the Vikings as 17-point favorites, with an implied point total of 29 points. Once they get out to a good lead Murray will lead the attack. I am starting him over guys like Derrick Henry, Lamar Miller and Kerryon Johnson.
Brian’s Pick – Wendell Smallwood, Philadelphia Eagles. All the Corey Clement buzz is going to come crashing down with Smallwood handling a sizeable role. Last season the Eagles coaches had thoughts Smallwood could be their starting back. He’s a better between the tackles runner and can also catch the ball. I’m predicting he scores this Sunday.
Steve’s Pick - Anthony Miller, Chicago Bears. Arizona’s defense hasn’t looked great as they’ve given up 58 points through their first two games. I think the Bears should be able to score on the Cardinals, and with Allen Robinson likely to see a heavy dose of Patrick Peterson, I think Anthony Miller will be able to have his breakout game as Budda Baker won’t be able to cover the talented rookie slot receiver.
Ryan’s Pick – Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Steelers defense has been gashed in each of the first two weeks. They might look to shut down Evans and D-Jax which should leave the talented Godwin with some less than stellar defensive players guarding him.
Bust of the Week
Ryan’s Pick – Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks. This Dallas defense is pretty damn good, and the ‘Hawks have been floundering through two weeks. The Cowboy pass rush should be in Wilson’s face all day. I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if he was held to 200 yards passing and one touchdown.
Steve’s Pick - TY Hilton, Indianapolis Colts. Andrew Luck is averaging only 8.3 yards per completion, which is behind only Sam Bradford among quarterbacks who have started both games this season (Per Rotoworld’s Worksheet). Philly has a stingy defense and I don’t think they will give up the big plays to Hilton and try and force the Colts putrid rushing attack to beat them.
Brian’s Pick – Allen Robinson, Chicago Bears. A-Rob has been a target monster in Matt Nagy’s new offense. He’s racked up 21 targets in two games! This week though he’s locked up with Patrick Peterson. He’ll disappoint and create a small buying window for owners.
Jim’s Pick - Larry Fitzgerald, WR Arizona Cardinals. Fitz has not been the same this year thanks to some seriously bad play by his QB and offensive line. It is not going to be any better this week as they play against a very tough Chicago defense. When you add in the fact that he is also dealing with a bad hamstring, I would look for other options.
Josh Gordon’s Expectations Week 3
(light - less than three catches, medium- 4-7 catches, max impact - 7+ catches)
Steve Says – Light. I have very low expectations for Josh Gordon in Week 3. The Patriots defense is very complex and I’m not sure Gordon will be asked to do a lot in his first game. I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if he was a healthy scratch until he can prove he has a grasp on the playbook. My prediction for Gordon is one catch for 16 yards in game one.
Brian Says – Medium. He’ll run a few deep routes and Brady will find him at least once. 3-70-1
Jim Says – Light. I go for Door #1. I think they put in a few “easy” plays for him this week, because it is going to take him a while to learn this offense. He could still have a 3-70-1 line when all is said and done and do well for you, but I don’t expect a lot of passes to come his way.
Ryan Says – Light. I wasn’t a Gordon believer in Cleveland, and it was mostly for what just happened. Sure he lands in a good passing situation in New England but he’s been there less than a week. Given Gordon’s lack of discipline I can’t believe that he has studied the playbook 24/7 since being traded to New England. He might have a couple catches, but I’m not expecting much.
Aaron Jones Expectations Week 3
(light - under 50 yards, medium – 50-75 yards, max impact – 80 yards+ and a touchdown)
Brian Says – Light. Aaron Jones isn’t a good pass blocker. Aaron Rodgers has a bad knee and can’t move. With the Pack running a lot of shotgun they’ll want the very good blocking RB Jamaal Williams in the game. I expect almost no impact for Jones this week. Under 50 yards.
Jim Says – Light. I wish there was a very light option. I think they ease him in, especially with Aaron Rodgers gimpy already. Jones is not known as being a good protector of his QB, which will limit his possible touches. Don’t count on him this week.
Ryan Says – Medium. Mike McCarthy has said that Jamaal Williams and Ty Montgomery have “played good football”. What the hell does that mean? Williams barely has 100 yards in two games and Montgomery has 37. Has McCarthy been watching his awful running game? I think Jones gets limited touches this week but he makes the most of him. He’s a risky start in Week 3, but I think he will give you medium production.
Steve Says – Light. Mike McCarthy has stated this week that Aaron Jones’ role will have a “secondary” role this week and he will be playing behind both Jamaal Williams and Ty Montgomery. McCarthy is an idiot. I think Jones will have six rushes for 37 yards without a score, and don’t enter him into your fantasy lineups until we see his role expand.
Better Running Back in Denver in Week 3 Lindsay or Freeman?
Steve Says - Phillip Lindsay has out-snapped Royce Freeman, he’s out-produced Royce Freeman, and shown that he is much better in the passing game than Royce Freeman. The Broncos are five-point underdogs to the Ravens, which means that it could be a game script that favors Lindsey this week as well. If you haven’t guessed, I’m picking Phillip Lindsey to be the better fantasy pick in Week 3.
Jim Says - I don’t think Lindsay does much against this tough Baltimore defense. I also don’t think Freeman does much of anything either, so it really comes down to a coin flip about which one gets in the endzone. Since Lindsay got the TD in Week 1 and Freeman got it in Week 2, it is clearly Lindsay’s turn, right?
Brian Says - Long term the team wants to use their high draft pick. GM’s don’t want to look bad. Teams want to see what he’s got. That said Lindsay has a lot of talent. He’s going to stay involved. I see him being useful for now but the long term back is Freeman.
Ryan Says – Coaches often times talk about “riding the hot hand” when it comes to running backs. While this isn’t a great matchup for either runner against Baltimore, I’m going to say that Lindsay can keep it going one more week and outperform Mr. Freeman.