Week 6 DFS Values
Well… last week was a little brutal. We had several inactives between both skill-players and important positional players, had some injuries to some of the options, and, plus, some of the Vegas lines were just waaaaay off. This week is going to be a little difficult as well, as we have four teams on their bye weeks. But, you know what they say… let’s get back up on that horse and analyze some Week 6 players with lower salaries who have DFS upside.
(Salaries are from DraftKings’ Classic 10-game slate for October 17, 2021.)
Taylor Heinicke vs. Kansas City Chiefs ($5,800)
It’s okay to admit that Taylor Heinicke underperformed last week against the New Orleans Saints. However, this should be a bounce-back week for him against a dismal Kansas City Chiefs offense. Last week, the Chiefs somehow managed to surpass the Football Team as the worst defense against the quarterback in the NFL; Washington’s defense is 2nd worst in the league against the quarterback, so I see this game being a huge shootout. Kansas City is also the worst against the quarterback rush, so Heinicke should use his wheels to get out of sticky situations. I love this matchup.
Teddy Bridgewater vs. Las Vegas Raiders ($5,700)
Look, Teddy Bridgewater isn’t the sexy play on this slate, by far. However, he is the lowest salaried player with the safest floor. That floor looks to be every safer against the Las Vegas Raiders. So far this season, the Raiders have allowed an average of 35.6 pass attempts and 26.6 pass completions to opposing quarterbacks. What makes this matchup even more intriguing is that the Raiders defense has a soft spot for tight ends. I think the Bridgewater/Noah Fant connection will be a boom situation this week, boding well for Bridgewater’s ceiling. He may not deliver the most points of the quarterback options, but for a value play, he should return his investment and free up your bankroll for some studs in different positions.
Tee Higgins @ Detroit Lions ($5,300)
Tee Higgins had a disappointing week last week, seeing only five receptions on seven targets for 32 yards. It definitely wasn’t what we had all hoped to see on his return back from injury on the stat line, but it seems that the Bengals were trying to ease him back in from his injury. Higgins saw only 70% of the offensive snaps, Tyler Boyd saw 82%, and Ja’Marr Chase saw 91%. Luckily, for everyone putting their eggs in the Higgins basket, he has a favorable Week 6 matchup against the Detroit Lions. The Lions are depleted in their secondary and have allowed 184.4 yards per game to opposing wide receivers. Joe Burrow should throw all over them. Look for a bounce-back week for Higgins.
Rondale Moore @ Cleveland Browns ($4,600)
After an explosive Week 2, Rondale Moore was quiet until last week’s performance against the San Francisco 49ers. Some of the fantasy doubt around Moore was the lack of targets to go around, but with tight end Maxx Williams going down for the year with a knee injury, there are plenty of vacated targets to collect. The matchup this Sunday should be a shootout against the Cleveland Browns, and Moore’s ceiling is only second to De’Andre Hopkins’ of the Cardinals’ wide receivers. The Browns have allowed 21.4 attempts per game and 36 fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position, and it doesn’t look like that’s going to change this week. So keep your eye on Rondale Moore.
Amon-Ra St. Brown vs. Cincinnati Bengals ($4,200)
The Sun God is finally getting his time! Over the past two weeks, Amon-Ra St. Brown has seen eight targets a game, catching six and seven of them, respectively, and tallying an average of 67.5 yards each game. Deep threat Quintez Cephus suffered a broken collarbone last week, adding more problems to an already depleted Lions wide receiver corps. St. Brown has run most of his snaps out of the slot, but with Cephus gone, the outside is open for him to run long routes and expose Bengals’ cornerbacks Chidobe Awuzie and Eli Apple. His ceiling is MASSIVE in this matchup!
Mecole Hardman @ Washington Football Team ($4.200)
Yes, everyone loves to hate on Mecole Hardman, despite his speed and route-running. However, last week, he showed why Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs value him as the third receiving option. He saw 12 targets and caught nine of them for 76 yards against the Buffalo Bills. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are both a little banged up, and the Chiefs are going against a very soft Washington Football Team defense. He scored over 16 PPR fantasy points last week, and if he can do that again against this porous defense, he’ll return value and then some.
Darrel Williams @ Washington Football Team ($4,900)
I keep harping on this Kansas City/Washington game, but can you blame me? Darrel Williams is set to move into the starting running back role in this Kansas City offense after Clyde Edwards-Helaire suffered an MCL sprain, and you know he will have a role. Washington’s defense allows 25 fantasy points to opposing running backs, and it’s already been established that this game should be a shootout. Williams is also an efficient pass-catching back, averaging a 70% catch rate. With an over/under of 55.5, you can’t go wrong by rostering any of the bargain plays in this game.
Khalil Herbert vs. Green Bay Packers ($4,600)
Khalil Herbert surprised many people last week, as many thought it would be the Damien Williams show, but the Chicago offense showed they had different plans. Herbert carried the ball 18 times for 75 yards in Week 5 against the Las Vegas Raiders, out-pacing Williams by the second half. Damien Williams was also placed on the Reserve/COVID list this week, so expect Herbert to shoulder a considerable workload.
Ricky Seals-Jones vs. Kansas City Chiefs ($3,000)
If you read last week’s article, you know I mentioned Ricky Seal-Jones as a value play for Week 5. He delivered value, even though he didn’t smash it. This week, he could change that. As I’ve mentioned several times through this article, the Kansas City/Washington game should be a shootout and be full of DFS value. He played an insane 99% of snaps last week against the New Orleans Saints and saw eight targets, and he shouldn’t play less than that against another high-powered offense in the Chiefs. If you don’t want to pay up for a highly volatile tight end position, look at Seals-Jones.
Demetrius Harris @ Cleveland Browns ($2,500)
This pick isn’t just a shout-out to a former Arkansas All-State dual-sport athlete; Demetrius Harris is a FORCE! With Maxx Williams suffering a season-ending knee injury in Week 5, the door is wide open for Harris to reward bargain searchers in this week’s matchup against the Cleveland Browns. He’s 6’7”, a horrific matchup for opposing safeties, and although he hasn’t played a large part in this offense so far this season, he has the talent to make a splash. Plus, it’s a revenge game against the Browns, who cut him in 2020. Call it a gut feeling, but this dude will surprise some people this week!
There you have it! Let me know what you think and if a player cashes for you this week by following me on Twitter @Britt_Flinn. Good luck